I requested the readers of my month-to-month newsblast six questions on 21 November. Two had been about their age and intercourse, one was about how they felt about the way forward for wildlife within the UK, and three had been about politics.
Listed below are the responses of 464 individuals up till I closed the ballot yesterday at 6pm (though nearly all (79%) of the responses had been from 21-23 November).
The respondents are fairly like me – unsurprisingly: round my age and predominantly of my intercourse.
Additionally they had been strongly skewed in direction of voting Labour on the final basic election.
However they’re heading for different events, predominantly Inexperienced of their present ideas.
Simply trying on the 199 people who say they voted Labour in July 2024 and who indicated how they might vote in a basic election tomorrow then solely 28 would nonetheless vote Labour. 118 of these 199 say they might swap to the Greens (E&W), 30 to the Liberal Democrats and smaller numbers throughout different political events or (not voting) however none to the Conservatives.
Recipients of my month-to-month newsblast are inquisitive about nature – how do they really feel about it?
And the way do they assume the present Westminster authorities is doing on the surroundings?
My interpretation of those outcomes: these outcomes are simple to interpret! This small and unrepresentative group of middle-aged or just aged electors who’re the kind of individuals who discover the vegetation rising within the pavements and the fields and the birds flying overhead are massively involved in regards to the state of British wildlife and assume the federal government is doing a foul job on the surroundings. They voted Labour within the final basic election as a result of they had been fed up with the Conservatives and gave Labour an opportunity. They now aren’t a lot feeling consumers’ regret however a mix of consumers’ anger and consumers’ despair. They really feel that Labour can’t be trusted any greater than the Conservatives and are trying round for a political celebration who may do higher. The Greens would be the major beneficiaries.
It’s in all probability a very long time till the subsequent basic election and all the pieces and something may change. Hardly anybody votes totally on environmental grounds alone however at a time of speedy biodiversity loss and local weather change these points loom very giant in some individuals’s minds and people responding to this ballot are a few of these individuals. Labour has blown it with this group of individuals. I doubt they may win all of them, us all, again, and in the intervening time there isn’t a signal that they may even attempt.
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